SA's economy grew at fastest pace in 14 years in 2021




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South Africa’s economy expanded at its fastest pace in 14 years in 2021, rebounding from a coronavirus-induced contraction the year before.

Gross domestic product grew 4.9%, after shrinking 6.4% in 2020, according to a report released by Statistics South Africa Tuesday in the capital, Pretoria. The biggest increase since 2007, the expansion beat the 4.8% median estimate of 29 economists in a Bloomberg survey and the National Treasury’s forecast in its annual budget last month. 

GDP expanded 1.2% in the three months through December from the previous quarter, following a revised 1.7% contraction in the prior three months. The growth rate matched the median estimate of 14 economists in a separate Bloomberg survey. GDP grew 1.7% year-on-year in the fourth quarter.

Growth in the fourth quarter was crimped by travel bans right before South Africa’s summer holiday season during a wave of omicron-variant infections, as well as surging gasoline prices.

While the faster rebound in the 2021 number bodes well for South Africa’s return to pre-Covid-19 levels of economic output this year and the government’s efforts to rein in high debt, the war in Ukraine is likely to curtail growth going forward.

Still, the data amplifies calls by National Treasury Director-General Dondo Mogajane for the government to accelerate structural reforms needed to raise output and create more employment opportunities in a country where more than a third of the workforce is unemployed.